Abhimanyu Pallavi Sudhir
1. Research
PhD student @ University of Warwick
- CV: relevant, extended, html (autogenerated by Pandoc)
- Blogs: The Winding Number, Copypasta
- Github: github
- Profiles: LessWrong, Stack Exchange, Twitter
- Also profiles: LinkedIn, GScholar, ORCID
I’m interested in stuff at the intersection of markets and AI.
2. Stuff I’ve done:
[NOW]
: doing now; [SUP]
: maintaining/supporting; [...]
: archived.
[NOW]
Reinforcement Learning from Recursive Information Market Feedback[NOW]
Market-based architectures in RL and beyond[SUP]
A consistency benchmark for LLM forecasters, an arbitrage-based metric to for measuring logical inconsistency andArbitrageForecaster
, the “Platt scaling of inconsistency”[SUP]
Prediction markets for non-verifiable non-falsifiable sentences[SUP]
The Scalable Oversight Benchmark[SUP]
chit, git for LLM chats – see my chithub. Don’t use it; just join the cult of emacs and use gptel instead, it’s way better.[SUP]
costly, a Python package for automatically estimating costs of complex LLM workflows before you run them[SUP]
pramaana, which is to Zotero whatpass
is to Bitwarden[...]
other random stuff on my CV (see above)
3. Deferred due to lack of time:
- Prediction markets for latent space variables or “subjective” questions somehow
- Anthropic alignment, i.e. the ``just make AI situationally unaware’’ approach which I think people have given up on too early
4. Deferred due to lack of urgency:
Other stuff I’m interested in but are currently somewhat low-priority because AGI is going to be a thing soon.
- Reformulating probability theory in terms of closed-under-computable-union sigma-algebras
- Market dynamics and bounded rationality
- “Interpretation” as a thing in intelligence, bounded rationality and thermodynamics
- Property rights theory, transaction costs, information asymmetry and thermodynamics
- Ways to better measure GDP, or better: Objective Utility
- My very sensible grammar concept
- Mathematical/computational models of state and war
5. Stuff I don’t know but would like to:
- Macroeconomics – money, interest rates, debt, inflation
- Cryptostuff
- CS – don’t know at all: grammar, computer architecture; want to get gud with: DSA, databases, operating systems,
- Statistical mechanics/thermodynamics
- Quantum information/probability/computing theory (should finish writing my quantum mechanics article series at some point)
- List of things in math I have learned but not really understood
6. Sitemap
- Abhimanyu Pallavi Sudhir
- Read
- currentwriting
- shortform
- anthropicintuitions
- changingmind
- cideas
- complementarygoods
- conditionalizationvsimplies
- consumersandalignment
- differentialprogressbad
- doaisfeel
- efficientcapitalismideas
- enumeratingallagents
- goodhartanddynamicenemy
- idaparalleltransport
- intelligenceexplosion
- latentsPCA
- llmpsychology
- lvpmbayesnets
- macroecon
- metalearningnote
- morphismsandentropy
- noumenal
- onlinelearning
- pramjwbad
- predictionmarketsarealsodeep
- properagent
- threetypesofinfo
- transformersarelikemarkets
- variabledepth
- wentworthnaturallatents
7. Links I like
7.1. Current Reading List
7.1.1. TODO Neural Interactive Proofs
7.1.3. Thermodynamics
7.1.3.1. TODO Classical Thermodynamics and Economics by Yuxi Liu
7.1.3.2. Ortega papers:
7.1.3.2.2. TODO information-theoretic bounded rationality
7.1.3.2.3. TODO information, utility and bounded rationality
7.1.3.6. TODO AI Consciousness
7.2. Later readable things
7.2.0.2. Introduction to stochastic calculus
7.2.1. Cryptoeconomics and such
7.2.1.2. Intro to ethereum
7.2.1.3. A whirlwind tour of ethereum finance
7.2.1.4. Bitcoin whitepaper
7.2.1.5. Bittensor whitepaper
7.3. John Wentworth’s study guide
7.3.1. DSA
7.3.2. Convex Optimization
7.3.3. DSGE and Recursive Macro
7.3.4. Games and Information
7.3.5. Control theory
7.3.6. Statistical mechanics
7.4. Good explanations
7.4.2. Blogs
- http://markforster.squarespace.com/forum/
- http://bearlamp.com.au/
- https://ourbigbook.com/
- https://www.marginalia.nu/
- https://risingentropy.com/
- https://www.jeremykun.com/
- https://nosology.substack.com
- https://near.blog/
- Oliver Nash
- https://yuxi-liu-wired.github.io/essays/
- https://parameterfree.com/lecture-notes-on-online-learning/
- https://jiha-kim.github.io/posts/introduction-to-stochastic-calculus/
7.4.3. online personalities I like
7.4.4. Youtube channels and educational cites
7.4.5. More technical blogs
7.5. Meta
7.5.1. AI alignment meta
7.5.2. Software tips
- https://www.reddit.com/r/linux/comments/r1lfnq/can_you_convert_one_linux_distro_to_another/
- https://karl-voit.at/2015/12/26/reference-management-with-orgmode/
- https://wohanley.com/posts/org-setup/
- https://danielpaleka.com/what-i-use
- https://www.reddit.com/r/thinkpad/comments/5xh702/no_way_to_check_battery_cycles_on_linux_t450s/
- https://www.reddit.com/r/linux4noobs/comments/cveg5s/backing_up_windows_10_before_making_the_full/
- Git LFS stuff
- Git SSH configuration
- OSSU Computer Science course seems like a good reference for teaching “the ropes”.
- https://operating-system-in-1000-lines.vercel.app/en (HN discussion)
7.5.3. Productivity
- https://gettingthingsdone.com/what-is-gtd/
- http://markforster.squarespace.com/autofocus-system/
- https://www.facebook.com/Xuenay/posts/10153513535798662
- https://blog.samaltman.com/how-to-be-successful
- http://benjaminrosshoffman.com/approval-extraction-advertised-as-production/
- https://guzey.com/lifehacks/
- https://milan.cvitkovic.net/writing/things_youre_allowed_to_do/
7.5.4. Stuff that might be relevant in life at some point
7.5.5. Courses and ML resources
7.5.6. Tools
- PDF tools: PDFSam/PDFGear/FoxIt/PDF24/PDFArranger
- Video editing: capcut?
- Diagrams: SVG? TikZ? Draw.io? Excalidraw? Mermaid? IDK haven’t figured out a good one yet.
- Big list: https://debarghyadas.com/writes/github/
7.5.6.1. OCR
- https://twitter.com/moyix/status/1786822000721207559
- https://github.com/VikParuchuri/surya
- https://mmocr.readthedocs.io/en/latest/
- https://huggingface.co/docs/transformers/en/model_doc/trocr
- https://github.com/NielsRogge/Transformers-Tutorials/blob/master/TrOCR/Evaluating_TrOCR_base_handwritten_on_the_IAM_test_set.ipynb
- https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39966534
7.5.6.1.1. Apple Vision
7.5.6.2. Quick online tools
7.5.6.3. Fun
- Gender-guesser,
- Bad at entropy (explanation)
- Akinator
- Mathgen
- latex.vercel.app, a stylesheet for making websites look like latex
7.5.7. slopware
the following is slop and I will judge you for it:
- notion
- slack
- calendly
- google docs (ok this one’s actually useful for opening PDFs but I’ll still judge)
- appleslop
- “fukuyama”
- “acemoglu”
- FT/Economist